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« Reply #1 on: July 31, 2010, 11:13:47 PM » |
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Fletch told me he didn't think this was as good as the first vid. I'm of quite a different mind, and see a few talking points...
2nd 64. Maybe a c-bet here, given every check has seemed to be a greenlight for Pil to bet...
K4 when you said it might have been time to play back: The previous 2 orbits Billy had not raised on your blind. that's a rather dry spell by his standards and I wonder if perhaps he had slowed down a gear at that time. You might have walked into a buzzsaw there, and I think discretion was the better part of valor there.
A5os vs. Pil. I noticed even this early that Pil tends to take leads when he gets greenlighted. So a cbet is pretty much a must here for me vs. Pil OTF. I've also seen him multibarrel (albeit without showdown, save for the suckout to KO AIDD (AT v. QJ when AIDD paired both). I'm pretty sure I'm looking him up otr here at about 2.5:1, when you will have 1K behind. As played, it looks like his standard turn stab or just hitting the board and you may have just resucked.
KK on A high board: While Billy has been an aggressive opener, I don't get the impression that he plays overly agro after getting looked up postflop. This could well be an ace that checked otf looking for one of your cbets to c/r, followed by v-bets OTT and OTR. Given the investment OTT, the river should be a call, but I'm not sure the logic that he's got air because he checked the flop is correct, given your c-bet %. While it's not unlikely he did just that, there's also a real possibility he has you beat. In any case, I think your decision had to be made OTT whether you intended to call down or just release. Your hand isn't likely to improve, and villain is often betting the river when he bets the turn, so the call turn/fold river line you've taken 2 or 3 times in this game is a possible leak that needs attention IMO. I honestly think Pil (and possibly Billy here) has smartly taken advantage of the fact that you can be pushed off a hand.
Regarding your question of your image: You seem to have decently sound agro and positional play PF, but I think you've given the table license to push you about postflop, and they know it. There are points where I think you outthink yourself; for instance 2 occasions where you do not cbet intending to induce bluffs, but then have doubt about following through with the calls.
One thing I noted also: on occasions, you size your bet based on effective stacks (i.e. bet in such a way to make a shove on the next street very close to a pot bet). This can be picked up as a tell, particularly if you never do so as a bluff or with a weaker hand as a play. Would love to hear thoughts on this idea in particular; I may just be out in left field here, but against players of this caliber, I don't think this read is out of the question
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