I think your reasoning for not flatting is pretty strange. I should be shoving any flush in my range on this turn, and the point of flatting turn would be:
- to either induce value bets or value bet into a blank river against worse made hands like two pair (NOTE: unlikely scenario even now)
- to keep the pot size in control against a very strong bet
- because we feel this is polarized, and that we beat virtually no legit hands in villain's hypothetical range yet are very live against them
- I'm 50bb's deep to start the hand and only end up investing 1/4 of my stack by calling this turn, so I can afford to let the better 4-flush get there if I'm up against semi-bluffs in preparation for the times that I get it in against the nuts
My reasons for shoving, I think, are:
- potential fold equity against smaller flushes -- and, honestly, if you're bluffing out a baby flush at any point in this hand, it's on the turn
- our equity against a hand like 42 of clubs is good anyways (7 clubs + 10 outs for board to pair)
- the likelihood that we are up against a hand like 42 of clubs is about as likely as it's going to get, as we are facing a bet from a preflop caller sitting in the blinds
K, I'm confused.
I for some reason thought blinds were 1000/2000 and villain minbet turn. So pretty much scratch all of that.