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Topic: Live tourney bind  (Read 666 times) More Search
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Author Topic: Live tourney bind(Read 666 times)
« on: August 18, 2011, 08:25:24 PM »

$65 charity tourney. 30 or so left-top 6 pay. Had around 10-11K

Had TT in the cutoff and raise to 1600 at 300-600 blinds

Button (LAG) shoves for around 5000.

BB (completely readless) re-shoves for around the same amount as the Button

I'm thinking BB isn't shoving worse than 99+ and AQ+ so I fold face up and ALL HELL breaks loose.

Am I completely stupid?

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Author Topic: Live tourney bind(Read 666 times)
profilsixandfour
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« Reply #1 on: August 18, 2011, 09:46:59 PM »

Am I completely stupid?

No, but they apparently are if they can't understand not getting in a 3way all in with tens.
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Author Topic: Live tourney bind(Read 666 times)
« Reply #2 on: August 18, 2011, 09:53:50 PM »

I don't like the fold. On the cut-off you could be raising with weakish hands, so the push doesn't necessarily mean a strong hand. I think a lot of the time you're up against an ace, and many of those times you'll have that ace dominated. I also think you're up against a lot of smaller pairs. You'll be up against bigger pairs some of the time, but overall, you're racing probably half of the time, dominating much of the time, and only dominated a small percentage of the time. Easy call, given your position, and the fact that you've already put in 1600.

I also don't like showing folds. You run the risk of showing the best hand, and you tell your opponents that you can be pushed off hands.
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Author Topic: Live tourney bind(Read 666 times)
profilFletch_smf
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« Reply #3 on: August 18, 2011, 10:11:12 PM »

I don't like the fold. On the cut-off you could be raising with weakish hands, so the push doesn't necessarily mean a strong hand. I think a lot of the time you're up against an ace, and many of those times you'll have that ace dominated. I also think you're up against a lot of smaller pairs. You'll be up against bigger pairs some of the time, but overall, you're racing probably half of the time, dominating much of the time, and only dominated a small percentage of the time. Easy call, given your position, and the fact that you've already put in 1600.

I also don't like showing folds. You run the risk of showing the best hand, and you tell your opponents that you can be pushed off hands.
You might have missed that BB shoved over the top of the Cut Off and BTN.

And I also am never folding face up.
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Author Topic: Live tourney bind(Read 666 times)
« Reply #4 on: August 18, 2011, 11:13:32 PM »

I did miss the BB shove.

Still, I think I am calling. Only 3400 more to bust two players, and I'm still not necessarily dominated. If I lose I'd be left with a good pushing stack.
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Author Topic: Live tourney bind(Read 666 times)
« Reply #5 on: August 19, 2011, 05:39:32 AM »

I think it's a pretty bad fold.  It costs you 3400 into an almost 12K pot.  You have almost enough equity to make the call with ATC, so your TT is plenty strong to make the call given those odds.  Couple that with the opportunity to bust 2 players and put yourself in a good spot regarding chip count.  These guys are getting really low on chips, and I think you're overestimating the BB's range.
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Author Topic: Live tourney bind(Read 666 times)
« Reply #6 on: August 19, 2011, 10:12:01 AM »

I don't think I'm underestimating BB's range cubbies. Why would BB shove 66-88? OR A9-AJ? These are not people who are WSOP bound any time soon. BB has a big hand here.
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Author Topic: Live tourney bind(Read 666 times)
« Reply #7 on: August 19, 2011, 03:18:10 PM »

The first thing we have to think about is whether BB is shoving a correct range.  I think BTN is shoving fairly wide, say A2+, KJ+, many sc's and all pairs.  This makes a correct BB shoving range of anything better than that, I reckon a conservative estimate of 77+, A9+ for a decent BB shoving range.

We have pot odds of 3400 into 11500 which is 3.3:1 ish (using my head), which means we prob need around 25% equity in the hand to be profitable.

However, i think BB tightens up a bit readless, especially as he is a live player.  Most live players at this level are tighter on new tables.  I think we can prob say his range is more like 99+ and AT+ imo, perhaps tighter if he really doesn't understand shoving ranges and is really bad (but you don't know that yet).

The final thing to think about here is that there might be other spots coming up that are better.  I personally wouldn't be folding face up, but now that you have, you should be throwing your weight around left right and centre.

I have stoved this:


equity    win    tie          pots won    pots tied   
Hand 0:    39.132%     38.49%    00.64%       74880002220    1254353036.00   { TT }
Hand 1:    38.613%     37.40%    01.21%       72764171580    2361543842.00   { 99+, ATs+, ATo+ }
Hand 2:    22.255%     21.37%    00.88%       41580246552    1719022514.00   { 22+, A2s+, KTs+, QJs, JTs, T9s, 98s, 87s, 76s, 65s, 4s, A2o+, KTo+ }

This is a clear call in these circumstances, and online I would call.  In a live game, I might fold for the above reasons, but the pot odds are so favourable you can almost put it in with atc.
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Author Topic: Live tourney bind(Read 666 times)
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« Reply #8 on: August 19, 2011, 07:58:20 PM »

We have pot odds of 3400 into 11500 which is 3.3:1 ish (using my head)
It costs you 3400 into an almost 12K pot.
I think I may have misread the hand description there. I took it as BTN shoved for 5K and BB shoved for 10K.
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Author Topic: Live tourney bind(Read 666 times)
« Reply #9 on: August 19, 2011, 09:16:07 PM »

Yeah sorry fletch both Button and BB had around the same amount of chips
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Author Topic: Live tourney bind(Read 666 times)
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« Reply #10 on: August 19, 2011, 11:19:29 PM »

I think I may have misread the hand description there. I took it as BTN shoved for 5K and BB shoved for 10K.

Yeah, I had the same thought.  Given both at 5k, it's a call, but the fold isn't horrible if you read the BB as having a tighter than normal range.  This far from bubble and at relatively high blinds though, you'd better have a pristine read on BB having a huge hand to even consider it.
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Author Topic: Live tourney bind(Read 666 times)
« Reply #11 on: August 20, 2011, 02:58:36 PM »

Since I had no read on BB I have to assume he has a hand, right Sixandfour? Wouldn't everyone assume the same thing?
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Author Topic: Live tourney bind(Read 666 times)
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« Reply #12 on: August 20, 2011, 06:58:04 PM »

Since I had no read on BB I have to assume he has a hand, right Sixandfour? Wouldn't everyone assume the same thing?
With no read you must assume that he has a stronger hand than the BTN. If he only has Over Pairs then you're only about 16% to win. But you can certainly add some underpairs and some big Aces there which pretty easily brings your equity back to about the 3 to 1 you need.
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Author Topic: Live tourney bind(Read 666 times)
« Reply #13 on: August 20, 2011, 07:34:27 PM »

I may call here.  I don't think we are doing too bad against the ranges (in fact we are probably crushing the range of the button), but this is a huge pot and we have top call 3400 to win a little over 12k.  

If we fold here we have about 15 BBs.  If we call and lose we have about 10 BBs.  Both are pretty bad and both are going to be hard stacks to get to the final table with 5 tables left.  However, calling and winning gives us over 35 BBs and a pretty decent position to make a deep run into the FT.  

Since I've been playing live alot since 4/15, I am learning that in almost every MTT there is a spot where you need to take an risky situation with a high reward to try to go real deep. 
« Last Edit: August 20, 2011, 07:42:26 PM by jjpregler » Logged
Author Topic: Live tourney bind(Read 666 times)
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« Reply #14 on: August 21, 2011, 04:48:11 AM »

Since I had no read on BB I have to assume he has a hand, right Sixandfour? Wouldn't everyone assume the same thing?

Certainly he has a hand.  That doesn't mean it beats yours enough of the time to give away 3:1 odds though.  And this situation leans toward a pretty wide range for the villains.  They're both basically in push and pray mode with 8 blinds, and button is a known LAG, so that opens up the BB's range a bit.  If your image is anything but nitty, I can see villain showing up with at least the range you put on him if not more, and that gives you the odds to call.  Given your situation isn't going to be a whole lot different on blinds if you fold or call and lose, there's no tourney equity to play it safe and live to fight another day.  On the other hand, winning the pot makes your situation a lot better, like jjpregler said, so it's a pretty cheap shot at stacking up. 

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Author Topic: Live tourney bind(Read 666 times)
« Reply #15 on: August 21, 2011, 10:34:15 PM »

Cubbies owns this thread... damn near ATC snapcalls here. As I told you on AIM goom I would pretty much only fold complete steal opens here that I don't want to go to showdown and screw up my image with. Anything that is a reasonable opening hand here cannot possibly find a fold imo.
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Author Topic: Live tourney bind(Read 666 times)
« Reply #16 on: August 22, 2011, 06:24:42 PM »

I guess I was completely wrong on this, especially since both opps flipped AQ and didn't improve.
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Author Topic: Live tourney bind(Read 666 times)
« Reply #17 on: August 30, 2011, 10:06:48 PM »

havent read past the OP and yes a fold here is not a good play at all imo...even tho u have no read on the BB, you are gettng such great odds for a hand that is in the top 10%....if u lose u still 10bbs and can play shove/fold easily...the equity is just way to juicy to not call witha decent hand....
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Author Topic: Live tourney bind(Read 666 times)
« Reply #18 on: August 30, 2011, 10:29:50 PM »

ok guess i should elaborate more....its one of those spots in a tourney that can elevate u to the leaderboard.....so mathmatically pokerwise its a call...if u win BOOOM!!!! but, if you lose ur still ok and you made the correct play(which i cant emphasize enough) and the correct play is what we need to do and concentrate on as poker players.....doing that is how you elevate yourself to the next level...(damn just had a epiphany(sp)...)
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Author Topic: Live tourney bind(Read 666 times)
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« Reply #19 on: August 30, 2011, 10:38:41 PM »

ok guess i should elaborate more....its one of those spots in a tourney that can elevate u to the leaderboard.....so mathmatically pokerwise its a call...if u win BOOOM!!!! but, if you lose ur still ok and you made the correct play(which i cant emphasize enough) and the correct play is what we need to do and concentrate on as poker players.....doing that is how you elevate yourself to the next level...(damn just had a epiphany(sp)...)

Right on.  This kinda ties in with another thread we've been discussing tourney situations in:

http://www.sixandfourum.com/tourney-game-strategy/arnold-snyder-poker-tournament-formula-2/

sometimes there's more risk and reward than the odds would dictate.
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Author Topic: Live tourney bind(Read 666 times)
« Reply #20 on: August 30, 2011, 10:57:11 PM »

ok guess i should elaborate more....its one of those spots in a tourney that can elevate u to the leaderboard.....so mathmatically pokerwise its a call...if u win BOOOM!!!! but, if you lose ur still ok and you made the correct play(which i cant emphasize enough) and the correct play is what we need to do and concentrate on as poker players.....doing that is how you elevate yourself to the next level...(damn just had a epiphany(sp)...)

Right on.  This kinda ties in with another thread we've been discussing tourney situations in:

http://www.sixandfourum.com/tourney-game-strategy/arnold-snyder-poker-tournament-formula-2/

sometimes there's more risk and reward than the odds would dictate.
i just typed a 20 min post with my thoughts in that thread and clicked reply and it didnt respond cuz i timed out Sad
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Author Topic: Live tourney bind(Read 666 times)
profilsixandfour
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« Reply #21 on: August 30, 2011, 11:00:39 PM »

i just typed a 20 min post with my thoughts in that thread and clicked reply and it didnt respond cuz i timed out Sad

lol, been there.  spent several hours on one once to get booted by my ISP and lost it all.
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Author Topic: Live tourney bind(Read 666 times)
« Reply #22 on: September 01, 2011, 08:28:57 PM »

ok guess i should elaborate more....its one of those spots in a tourney that can elevate u to the leaderboard.....so mathmatically pokerwise its a call...if u win BOOOM!!!! but, if you lose ur still ok and you made the correct play(which i cant emphasize enough) and the correct play is what we need to do and concentrate on as poker players.....doing that is how you elevate yourself to the next level...(damn just had a epiphany(sp)...)

Right on.  This kinda ties in with another thread we've been discussing tourney situations in:

http://www.sixandfourum.com/tourney-game-strategy/arnold-snyder-poker-tournament-formula-2/

sometimes there's more risk and reward than the odds would dictate.
i just typed a 20 min post with my thoughts in that thread and clicked reply and it didnt respond cuz i timed out Sad

Please take the time to repost.  I'm really interested in other's thoughts on the topic.
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